About
The Evidence to Recommendations (EtR) frameworks describe information considered in moving from evidence to ACIP vaccine recommendations.
Summary
Question: Does ACIP recommend vaccination with the 2-dose* JYNNEOS vaccine series for persons aged 18 years and older at risk† for mpox?
*Dose 2 administered 28 days after dose 1
†Persons at risk:
- Gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men§, who in the past 6 months have had one of the following:
- A new diagnosis of ≥ 1 sexually transmitted disease
- More than one sex partner
- Sex at a commercial sex venue
- Sex in association with a large public event in a geographic area where mpox transmission is occurring
- Sexual partners of persons with the risks described in above
- Persons who anticipate experiencing any of the above
§Wording previously published has been amended to comply with Executive Order 14168. Recommended Adult Immunization Schedule for ages 19 years or older-2024 U.S.;
Background
The first mpox case from the global outbreak that started in 2022 was detected in the United Kingdom in May 2022. This quickly spread to many countries and is primarily affecting gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men. It is associated with person-to-person spread via close skin-to-skin contact including sex. Deaths have occurred, primarily among persons with severe immunocompromise from advanced HIV. In the United States, we have detected over 30,000 cases, and over 50 deaths; this comprises one-third of the global cases and deaths due to mpox. Cases continue to be detected every week in the United States.
Problem
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
Is the problem of public health importance? | Yes |
Mpox cases continue to occur domestically and internationally, including in clusters. Severe disease and deaths continue to occur. More than 1.25 million doses of JYNNEOS have been administered in the United States; however, national vaccine coverage remains lower than ideal, possibly because of lower perceived risk. Modeling data suggest larger outbreaks may occur if vaccine coverage remains <50% nationally for persons at risk of mpox during the outbreak that began in 2022 and disproportionately is impacting certain gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men.
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Unlike typical mpox outbreaks, the outbreak that began in 2022 has continued. |
Benefits and Harms
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
How substantial are the desirable anticipated effects? | Large | The estivated VE for preventing mpox disease has ranged from 66-89%.
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The design of each of these studies was different. However, the data as well as real-world surveillance data indicate that the 2-dose JYNNEOS vaccine series suggests that JYNNEOS prevents or reduces the severity of many infections during the clade II outbreak that began in 2022.
Because mpox spreads through close person-to-person contact (e.g., to exposed lesions or respiratory secretions), including during sex, vaccination of at-risk persons may have a herd immunity effect.
Payne AB, Ray LC, Cole MM, et al. Reduced Risk for Mpox After Receipt of 1 or 2 Doses of JYNNEOS Vaccine Compared with Risk Among Unvaccinated Persons — 43 U.S. Jurisdictions, July 31–October 1, 2022. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022;71:1560–1564.
Deputy NP, Deckert J, Chard AN, Sandberg N, Moulia DL, Barkley E, Dalton AF, Sweet C, Cohn AC, Little DR, Cohen AL, Sandmann D, Payne DC, Gerhart JL, Feldstein LR. Vaccine Effectiveness of JYNNEOS against Mpox Disease in the United States. N Engl J Med. 2023 Jun 29;388(26):2434-2443.
Dalton AF, Diallo AO, Chard AN, et al. Estimated Effectiveness of JYNNEOS Vaccine in Preventing Mpox: A Multijurisdictional Case-Control Study — United States, August 19, 2022–March 31, 2023. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023;72:553–558.
Rosenberg ES, Dorabawila V, Hart-Malloy R, et al. Effectiveness of JYNNEOS Vaccine Against Diagnosed Mpox Infection — New York, 2022. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023;72:559–563.
Rosen JB, Arciuolo RJ, Pathela P, Boyer CB, Baumgartner J, Latash J, Malec L, Lee EH, Reddy V, King R, Edward Real J, Lipsitch M, Zucker JR. JYNNEOS™ effectiveness as post-exposure prophylaxis against mpox: Challenges using real-world outbreak data. Vaccine. 2024 Jan 25;42(3):548-555.
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How substantial are the undesirable anticipated effects? | Small |
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Duffy J, Myers TR, Marquez P, Rouse D, Brown H, Zhang B, Shay DK, Moro PL. JYNNEOS Vaccine Safety Surveillance During the 2022 Mpox Outbreak Using the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System and V-safe, United States, 2022 to 2023. Sex Transm Dis. 2024 Aug 1;51(8):509-515.
Duffy J, Yih WK, Walton K, DeSilva MB, Glanz JM, Hambidge SJ, Jackson LA, Klein NP, Lewin BJ, Naleway AL, Sundaram ME, Maro JC, Weintraub E. JYNNEOS vaccine safety surveillance in the vaccine safety datalink during the 2022 mpox outbreak in the United States. Infection. 2024 Nov 20:10.1007/s15010-024-02428-1.
Duffy J, Marquez P, Moro P, Weintraub E, Yu Y, Boersma P, Donahue JG, Glanz JM, Goddard K, Hambidge SJ, Lewin B, Lewis N, Rouse D, Shimabukuro T. Safety Monitoring of JYNNEOS Vaccine During the 2022 Mpox Outbreak - United States, May 22-October 21, 2022. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2022 Dec 9;71(49):1555-1559.
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Do the desirable effects outweigh the undesirable effects? | Favors intervention | The benefits were deemed large and the harms, small. For this reason, the desirable effects of vaccination with the JYNNEOS series outweigh the undesirable effects. |
Values
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
Does the target population feel that the desirable effects are large relative to undesirable effects? | Probably yes |
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Filardo TD. Vaccine. 2023 Sep 7;41(39):5673-5677.
Hassan, R. (in press). Sexually Transmitted Diseases
Curtis MG, Davoudpour S, Rodriguez-Ortiz AE, et al. Predictors of Mpox vaccine uptake among sexual and gender minority young adults living in Illinois: Unvaccinated vs. double vs. single dose vaccine recipients. Vaccine. 2023 Jun 19;41(27):4002-4008.
Turpin RE, Mandell CJ, Camp AD, Davidson Mhonde RR, Dyer TV, Mayer KH, Liu H, Coates T, Boekeloo BO. Monkeypox-Related Stigma and Vaccine Challenges as a Barrier to HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis among Black Sexual Minority Men. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jul 8;20(14):6324.
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Is there important uncertainty about or variability in how much people value the main outcomes? | Possibly important uncertainty or variability | Interest and intent to get vaccinated has varied among the affected population. There is lower perceived risk of mpox which might contribute to reduced interest in vaccine now that we are later in the outbreak. |
Acceptability
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
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Is the intervention acceptable to key stakeholders? | Yes |
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The workgroup concluded that health departments and clinicians are supportive of mpox vaccines even if pediatricians would prefer to refer patients to other clinics to receive JYNNEOS.
Family Practitioners would like to provide JYNNEOS in their own clinics
There has been a shift from JYNNEOS provided by public health providers to JYNNEOS provided by medical center providers, including STI and HIV clinics
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Resource Use
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
Is the intervention a reasonable and efficient allocation of resources? | Don't know |
JYNNEOS was available free of cost from HHS’ Strategic National Stockpile at the time of the vote. There were significant resources involved in shipping transporting and personnel during the peak of the outbreak. Doses used from the Strategic National Stockpile would need to be replenished which is a significant use of resources.
In the future, it is possible that the vaccine will be commercialized but if so, there will be unknown costs associated with commercialization |
Overall, there are uncertainties because the vaccine may be commercialized (vs. accessed via national stockpiles). |
Equity
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
What would be the impact on health equity | Probably increased |
No groups or settings are believed to be disadvantaged by the recommendation for JYNNEOS during outbreaks. An ACIP recommendation might facilitate broad acceptance of vaccination (e.g., by insurance companies, health departments) because an endorsement by ACIP occurs after rigorous review of the evidence.
A routine recommendation will facilitate 1:1 counseling and information sharing in the privacy of a clinic; vaccine recommendation from a clinician is associated with increased vaccine uptake.
A routine recommendation might facilitate broad acceptance of vaccination (e.g., by insurance companies, patients) because endorsement by ACIP only occurs after rigorous review |
Any vaccine administered may decrease the disparity between the affected population and others. Access to vaccine (vs. no vaccine) may improve the health of persons who are at risk for mpox. Routine recommendation may facilitate vaccinations. |
Feasibility
Criteria | Work Group Judgments | Evidence | Additional Information |
---|---|---|---|
Is the intervention feasible to implement? | Probably yes |
Subcutaneous vaccine is easy to administer and standing orders are available. JYNNEOS also can be stored refrigerated for 8 weeks.
A recent analysis indicates a shift in vaccine providers; continued successful integration of JYNNEOS into providers’ practices (e.g., STI and HIV care settings, HIV care pharmacies, LGBTQ+ affirming care practices) is believed to be feasible. STI, HIV, and most family medicine/internal medicine providers are comfortable providing vaccines but some pediatricians may prefer referring patients to other clinics.
Once commercialized, similar to other vaccines, the cost of vaccine might impact access to some populations
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The workgroup felt that JYNNEOS vaccination is probably sustainable during outbreaks but that vaccine access is an important consideration: access should be increased and convenient and not associated with stigma. During an outbreak, there should be strong ties with community-based organizations, support at vaccination events, engagement with trusted messengers, and access to vaccine in rural areas |
Balance of consequences
Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings
Is there sufficient information to move forward with a recommendation?
Policy options for ACIP consideration
ACIP recommends the intervention
Draft recommendation (text)
ACIP recommends vaccination with the 2-dose JYNNEOS vaccine seriesC for persons aged 18 years and older at risk for mpox. Persons at risk included the following: 1) MSMD who in the past 6 months have had at least one of the following or anticipate experiencing one of the following: A new diagnosis of ≥ 1 sexually transmitted infection, more than one sex partner, sex at a commercial sex venue, or sex in association with a large public event in a geographic area where mpox transmission is occurring, and 2) Sexual partners of persons described in the above, and 3) Persons who anticipate experiencing the above.E
Final ACIP recommendation
ACIP recommends the intervention.
- Dose 2 should be administered 28 days after dose 1
- Wording previously published has been amended to comply with Executive Order 14168. Recommended Adult Immunization Schedule for ages 19 years or older-2024 U.S.;
- Because there might be stigma associated with affirming risk factors, clinicians should consider vaccinating persons who request vaccination (i.e., self-attest to vaccine eligibility) without requiring specification of the criterion that deem eligibility